Baseball Strategy Team Record in Games Started – What is TRGS?

How do we find a good Baseball strategy team record in games started and what does TRGS mean?

There are many several different ways of measuring a pitcher’s effectiveness. A popular method is the ERA, or Earned Run Average.  What we do is we take walks and hits and divide that by the innings pitched (WHIP).  This may carry some weight for baseball fans, but this doesn’t really hold a lot of merit for people who are betting on baseball, who are only concerned with what team wins the game.

The win-loss record of a pitcher only tells half of the story in that is only reflects the games in which the pitcher received a decision.  As a professional bettor in baseball, it makes no difference what pitcher is  credited with the win.  As long as you win your bet, it doesn’t matter if the starting pitcher earned the win or if one of the relief pitchers win the game.

For baseball bettors,  a better statistic is known as Team Record in Games Started (TRGS) instead of looking at a pitcher’s win-loss record. It credits a pitcher with a win when his team wins the game, regardless of which pitcher earned the decision, while it hands the pitcher a loss when his team loses, even if the bullpen gave up a four-run lead in the eighth inning.

When using TRGS instead of the normal win-loss record, it will often show you how to find pitchers who are more likely to be over-valued or under-valued based on their team’s record in games where they didn’t earn a decision.  In a lot of cases, a pitcher’s win-loss record and TRGS will be pretty equal in that a pitcher with a 10-10 record will have a TRGS of 14-14, however there are also times where they can greatly differ in that is where professional baseball bettors who incorporate the TRGS strategy into their baseball handicapping can gave a slight advantage.

In 2013, Detroit’s Justin Verlander was considered to have a bit of an off year, who finished the season with a 14-13 record and a healthy 3.32 ERA.  However Detroit was 1-9 in games where Verlander didn’t get the decision and his TRGS was not that great at 15-22, and this gave him a flat-bet loss of 23.4 units.  This was the first time a pitcher had shown a flat-bet loss of over 20 units since David Cone in 2000.  It was also the second time Verlander had led the league in lost money, having pulled off the dubious feat in 2008.

Matt Cain (8-10 win-loss record, 11-19 TRGS) and Felix Hernandez (12-10 win- loss record, 14-17 TRGS) were also among the league leaders in lost money.

There are also pitchers out there who have seen a great improvement in TRGS over their win-loss record.  Ryan Demster was just 8-9 in 2013 with a 4.64 ERA, however his TRGS of 17-12 gave him a modest flat-bet profit despite posting dismal traditional numbers.  Derek Holland also had a win loss record of 10-9, however his TRGS was 20-13 which made him a decent bet.  Arizona’s Pat Corbin had a win-loss record of 14-8, but his impressive TRGS of 23-9 made him one of the top money earning pitchers for the 2013 year.

TRGS is a much better way of checking out  a pitcher and those who use it in their baseball handicapping have an advantage over those who not and baseball bettors can use every single advantage that they can get their hands on.

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